Research · governed claims

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Browse 42 claims already released across 3 source-reviewed topic maps. Every card keeps population, comparator, outcome, evidence role, result, limits, funding/conflicts, correction state and source identity together.

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42 claims

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Indirect contextclaim:c63-col-01

NordICC randomized an invitation to one colonoscopy, not guaranteed completion; 42.0% participated in the earlier report.

Cancer screening mapColonoscopy invitation and 13-year outcomes

Evidence role
design-and-uptake
Population or model
84,583 men and women age 55–64 in Norway, Poland and Sweden
Comparator
Invitation to one screening colonoscopy versus no screening invitation
Outcome
program offer and participation
Design and maturity
Randomized invitation trial with corrected 13-year follow-up
Result
NordICC randomized an invitation to one colonoscopy, not guaranteed completion; 42.0% participated in the earlier report.
Boundary
Does not show everyone invited underwent colonoscopy or that per-protocol analysis preserves randomization.
Limitations
Intention-to-screen includes nonparticipation.
Funding and conflicts
Public and cancer-organization funding; author research support and endoscopy-industry consulting, honoraria or equipment relationships.
Correction state
PMID 42102826 has published erratum PMID 42119586; only core current-record outcomes are authorized and subgroup/location claims are excluded.
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Direct supportclaim:c63-col-02

At 13 years, colorectal-cancer incidence was 375/28,217 (1.46%) versus 912/56,366 (1.80%); RR 0.81 (95% CI 0.71–0.90).

Cancer screening mapColonoscopy invitation and 13-year outcomes

Evidence role
primary-support
Population or model
84,583 men and women age 55–64 in Norway, Poland and Sweden
Comparator
Invitation to one screening colonoscopy versus no screening invitation
Outcome
colorectal-cancer incidence
Design and maturity
Randomized invitation trial with corrected 13-year follow-up
Result
At 13 years, colorectal-cancer incidence was 375/28,217 (1.46%) versus 912/56,366 (1.80%); RR 0.81 (95% CI 0.71–0.90).
Boundary
Does not establish lower cancer mortality, all-cause mortality, healthspan or lifespan.
Limitations
Uses the current corrected record; subgroup/location claims are excluded.
Funding and conflicts
Public and cancer-organization funding; author research support and endoscopy-industry consulting, honoraria or equipment relationships.
Correction state
PMID 42102826 has published erratum PMID 42119586; only core current-record outcomes are authorized and subgroup/location claims are excluded.
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Direct supportclaim:c63-col-03

At 13 years, colorectal-cancer mortality was 106/28,217 (0.41%) versus 236/56,366 (0.47%); RR 0.88 (95% CI 0.68–1.08), so reduction was not demonstrated.

Cancer screening mapColonoscopy invitation and 13-year outcomes

Evidence role
primary-support
Population or model
84,583 men and women age 55–64 in Norway, Poland and Sweden
Comparator
Invitation to one screening colonoscopy versus no screening invitation
Outcome
colorectal-cancer mortality
Design and maturity
Randomized invitation trial with corrected 13-year follow-up
Result
At 13 years, colorectal-cancer mortality was 106/28,217 (0.41%) versus 236/56,366 (0.47%); RR 0.88 (95% CI 0.68–1.08), so reduction was not demonstrated.
Boundary
Does not establish benefit, harm or all-cause longevity effect.
Limitations
Lower-than-expected mortality reduced event information; no demonstrated difference is not proof of equivalence.
Funding and conflicts
Public and cancer-organization funding; author research support and endoscopy-industry consulting, honoraria or equipment relationships.
Correction state
PMID 42102826 has published erratum PMID 42119586; only core current-record outcomes are authorized and subgroup/location claims are excluded.
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Indirect contextclaim:c63-col-04

Per-protocol estimates were RR 0.55 (95% CI 0.33–0.81) for incidence and RR 0.70 (95% CI 0.26–1.25) for colorectal-cancer mortality.

Cancer screening mapColonoscopy invitation and 13-year outcomes

Evidence role
secondary-context
Population or model
84,583 men and women age 55–64 in Norway, Poland and Sweden
Comparator
Invitation to one screening colonoscopy versus no screening invitation
Outcome
modeled outcomes under per-protocol assumptions
Design and maturity
Randomized invitation trial with corrected 13-year follow-up
Result
Per-protocol estimates were RR 0.55 (95% CI 0.33–0.81) for incidence and RR 0.70 (95% CI 0.26–1.25) for colorectal-cancer mortality.
Boundary
Does not prove the causal effect every individual would receive from colonoscopy.
Limitations
Depends on compliance and modeling assumptions.
Funding and conflicts
Public and cancer-organization funding; author research support and endoscopy-industry consulting, honoraria or equipment relationships.
Correction state
PMID 42102826 has published erratum PMID 42119586; only core current-record outcomes are authorized and subgroup/location claims are excluded.
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Indirect contextclaim:c63-col-05

The 10-year report recorded 15 major bleeding events after polyp removal and no perforation or screening-related death within 30 days.

Cancer screening mapColonoscopy invitation and 13-year outcomes

Evidence role
safety-context
Population or model
84,583 men and women age 55–64 in Norway, Poland and Sweden
Comparator
Invitation to one screening colonoscopy versus no screening invitation
Outcome
short-term screening harms
Design and maturity
Randomized invitation trial with corrected 13-year follow-up
Result
The 10-year report recorded 15 major bleeding events after polyp removal and no perforation or screening-related death within 30 days.
Boundary
Does not prove colonoscopy is risk-free or quantify personalized risk.
Limitations
Dated 10-year context and 30-day window do not capture every downstream or uncommon harm.
Funding and conflicts
Public and cancer-organization funding; author research support and endoscopy-industry consulting, honoraria or equipment relationships.
Correction state
PMID 42102826 has published erratum PMID 42119586; only core current-record outcomes are authorized and subgroup/location claims are excluded.
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Indirect contextclaim:c63-col-06

At 10 years, all-cause mortality was 11.03% versus 11.04% (RR 0.99, 95% CI 0.96–1.04); no 13-year all-cause claim is authorized.

Cancer screening mapColonoscopy invitation and 13-year outcomes

Evidence role
boundary-and-guidance-context
Population or model
84,583 men and women age 55–64 in Norway, Poland and Sweden
Comparator
Invitation to one screening colonoscopy versus no screening invitation
Outcome
all-cause mortality and current guidance
Design and maturity
Randomized invitation trial with corrected 13-year follow-up
Result
At 10 years, all-cause mortality was 11.03% versus 11.04% (RR 0.99, 95% CI 0.96–1.04); no 13-year all-cause claim is authorized.
Boundary
Does not establish longer life or select a strategy for an individual.
Limitations
Earlier follow-up only; guidance includes multiple screening options.
Funding and conflicts
Public and cancer-organization funding; author research support and endoscopy-industry consulting, honoraria or equipment relationships.
Correction state
PMID 42102826 has published erratum PMID 42119586; only core current-record outcomes are authorized and subgroup/location claims are excluded.
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Indirect contextclaim:c63-lung-01

NLST studied selected high-risk current/former smokers, not the general population or never-smokers.

Cancer screening mapLow-dose CT screening outcomes

Evidence role
design-and-population
Population or model
53,454 adults age 55–74 with at least 30 pack-years who currently smoked or had quit within 15 years
Comparator
Three annual low-dose CT screens versus chest radiography
Outcome
eligibility and external validity
Design and maturity
Large randomized screening trial with extended mortality follow-up
Result
NLST studied selected high-risk current/former smokers, not the general population or never-smokers.
Boundary
Does not generalize benefit outside a validated eligibility envelope.
Limitations
Original eligibility was narrower than current USPSTF eligibility.
Funding and conflicts
NCI/NIH-sponsored; ACRIN/NCI/NIH institutional grants and named outside relationships including LUNGevity, Siemens and Veracyte.
Correction state
No correction, retraction or expression of concern found; comments are not corrections.
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Direct supportclaim:c63-lung-02

Original lung-cancer mortality was 247 versus 309 per 100,000 person-years; relative reduction 20.0% (95% CI 6.8%–26.7%).

Cancer screening mapLow-dose CT screening outcomes

Evidence role
primary-support
Population or model
53,454 adults age 55–74 with at least 30 pack-years who currently smoked or had quit within 15 years
Comparator
Three annual low-dose CT screens versus chest radiography
Outcome
lung-cancer mortality
Design and maturity
Large randomized screening trial with extended mortality follow-up
Result
Original lung-cancer mortality was 247 versus 309 per 100,000 person-years; relative reduction 20.0% (95% CI 6.8%–26.7%).
Boundary
Does not show a 20% all-cause mortality reduction or individual benefit.
Limitations
Comparator was chest radiography; relative results need absolute rates and extended follow-up.
Funding and conflicts
NCI/NIH-sponsored; ACRIN/NCI/NIH institutional grants and named outside relationships including LUNGevity, Siemens and Veracyte.
Correction state
No correction, retraction or expression of concern found; comments are not corrections.
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Indirect contextclaim:c63-lung-03

The original absolute lung-cancer mortality rates were 247 and 309 deaths per 100,000 person-years.

Cancer screening mapLow-dose CT screening outcomes

Evidence role
absolute-result-context
Population or model
53,454 adults age 55–74 with at least 30 pack-years who currently smoked or had quit within 15 years
Comparator
Three annual low-dose CT screens versus chest radiography
Outcome
absolute lung-cancer mortality rate
Design and maturity
Large randomized screening trial with extended mortality follow-up
Result
The original absolute lung-cancer mortality rates were 247 and 309 deaths per 100,000 person-years.
Boundary
Does not supply a personalized absolute benefit.
Limitations
Person-year rates are not an individual's cumulative probability.
Funding and conflicts
NCI/NIH-sponsored; ACRIN/NCI/NIH institutional grants and named outside relationships including LUNGevity, Siemens and Veracyte.
Correction state
No correction, retraction or expression of concern found; comments are not corrections.
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Indirect contextclaim:c63-lung-04

Across rounds, 24.2% of LDCT and 6.9% of radiography screens were positive; 96.4% and 94.5% of positives were false positives under the trial definition.

Cancer screening mapLow-dose CT screening outcomes

Evidence role
harm-and-diagnostic-context
Population or model
53,454 adults age 55–74 with at least 30 pack-years who currently smoked or had quit within 15 years
Comparator
Three annual low-dose CT screens versus chest radiography
Outcome
positive and false-positive screens
Design and maturity
Large randomized screening trial with extended mortality follow-up
Result
Across rounds, 24.2% of LDCT and 6.9% of radiography screens were positive; 96.4% and 94.5% of positives were false positives under the trial definition.
Boundary
Does not mean 96.4% of all screened people had a false positive or that modern rates are identical.
Limitations
Trial definitions and management predate current protocols.
Funding and conflicts
NCI/NIH-sponsored; ACRIN/NCI/NIH institutional grants and named outside relationships including LUNGevity, Siemens and Veracyte.
Correction state
No correction, retraction or expression of concern found; comments are not corrections.
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Indirect contextclaim:c63-lung-05

At median 12.3 years, lung-cancer deaths were 1,147 versus 1,236 (RR 0.92, 95% CI 0.85–1.00); all-cause difference 4.2 per 1,000 (95% CI −2.6 to 10.9).

Cancer screening mapLow-dose CT screening outcomes

Evidence role
extended-follow-up
Population or model
53,454 adults age 55–74 with at least 30 pack-years who currently smoked or had quit within 15 years
Comparator
Three annual low-dose CT screens versus chest radiography
Outcome
lung-cancer and all-cause mortality
Design and maturity
Large randomized screening trial with extended mortality follow-up
Result
At median 12.3 years, lung-cancer deaths were 1,147 versus 1,236 (RR 0.92, 95% CI 0.85–1.00); all-cause difference 4.2 per 1,000 (95% CI −2.6 to 10.9).
Boundary
Does not demonstrate a precise all-cause or longevity benefit.
Limitations
Adjusted estimates are secondary; the all-cause interval includes no difference.
Funding and conflicts
NCI/NIH-sponsored; ACRIN/NCI/NIH institutional grants and named outside relationships including LUNGevity, Siemens and Veracyte.
Correction state
No correction, retraction or expression of concern found; comments are not corrections.
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Indirect contextclaim:c63-lung-06

Current 2021 USPSTF guidance covers age 50–80, at least 20 pack-years, current smoking or quitting within 15 years, and stop conditions—different from NLST.

Cancer screening mapLow-dose CT screening outcomes

Evidence role
current-guidance-context
Population or model
53,454 adults age 55–74 with at least 30 pack-years who currently smoked or had quit within 15 years
Comparator
Three annual low-dose CT screens versus chest radiography
Outcome
dated population recommendation
Design and maturity
Large randomized screening trial with extended mortality follow-up
Result
Current 2021 USPSTF guidance covers age 50–80, at least 20 pack-years, current smoking or quitting within 15 years, and stop conditions—different from NLST.
Boundary
Does not prescribe screening or replace an individual clinical decision.
Limitations
Guidance can change and considers preference, health status and ability to undergo treatment.
Funding and conflicts
NCI/NIH-sponsored; ACRIN/NCI/NIH institutional grants and named outside relationships including LUNGevity, Siemens and Veracyte.
Correction state
No correction, retraction or expression of concern found; comments are not corrections.
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Indirect contextclaim:c63-psa-01

The 21-year focal evidence is the Rotterdam ERSPC section using repeated PSA-based screening about every four years.

Cancer screening mapPSA screening tradeoffs

Evidence role
design-and-scope
Population or model
42,376 men age 55–74 in ERSPC Rotterdam; primary analysis in 34,831 men age 55–69
Comparator
Invitation to PSA-based screening about every four years versus control
Outcome
section-specific screening program
Design and maturity
Randomized screening program with long section-specific follow-up
Result
The 21-year focal evidence is the Rotterdam ERSPC section using repeated PSA-based screening about every four years.
Boundary
Does not establish the effect of one PSA test or a modern MRI-led pathway.
Limitations
Center protocols and contamination differed; this is not a uniform multicenter 21-year estimate.
Funding and conflicts
Dutch Cancer Society, Netherlands Organisation for Health Research and Development, Dutch Cancer Research Foundation, and an unconditional Beckman-Coulter-Hybritech grant; focal paper reports no author conflicts.
Correction state
No correction, retraction or expression of concern found; a later comment is not a correction.
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Indirect contextclaim:c63-psa-02

In the primary age group, prostate-cancer mortality RR was 0.73 (95% CI 0.61–0.88) and metastatic prostate cancer RR was 0.67 (95% CI 0.58–0.78).

Cancer screening mapPSA screening tradeoffs

Evidence role
primary-and-secondary-support
Population or model
42,376 men age 55–74 in ERSPC Rotterdam; primary analysis in 34,831 men age 55–69
Comparator
Invitation to PSA-based screening about every four years versus control
Outcome
cancer-specific mortality and metastatic disease
Design and maturity
Randomized screening program with long section-specific follow-up
Result
In the primary age group, prostate-cancer mortality RR was 0.73 (95% CI 0.61–0.88) and metastatic prostate cancer RR was 0.67 (95% CI 0.58–0.78).
Boundary
Does not establish lower all-cause mortality, longer life or net benefit for everyone.
Limitations
Cancer-specific mortality was primary; metastatic disease secondary.
Funding and conflicts
Dutch Cancer Society, Netherlands Organisation for Health Research and Development, Dutch Cancer Research Foundation, and an unconditional Beckman-Coulter-Hybritech grant; focal paper reports no author conflicts.
Correction state
No correction, retraction or expression of concern found; a later comment is not a correction.
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Indirect contextclaim:c63-psa-03

The paper treated all-cause death as competing-risk context rather than demonstrating an all-cause screening effect.

Cancer screening mapPSA screening tradeoffs

Evidence role
endpoint-boundary
Population or model
42,376 men age 55–74 in ERSPC Rotterdam; primary analysis in 34,831 men age 55–69
Comparator
Invitation to PSA-based screening about every four years versus control
Outcome
endpoint hierarchy
Design and maturity
Randomized screening program with long section-specific follow-up
Result
The paper treated all-cause death as competing-risk context rather than demonstrating an all-cause screening effect.
Boundary
Does not justify a longevity headline or claim screening extends life.
Limitations
Cancer-specific benefit can coexist with harms and no measured all-cause effect.
Funding and conflicts
Dutch Cancer Society, Netherlands Organisation for Health Research and Development, Dutch Cancer Research Foundation, and an unconditional Beckman-Coulter-Hybritech grant; focal paper reports no author conflicts.
Correction state
No correction, retraction or expression of concern found; a later comment is not a correction.
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Indirect contextclaim:c63-psa-04

Rotterdam reported 57 excess prostate-cancer diagnoses per 1,000 randomized to screening; across five ERSPC centers, 17.8% of screened men had at least one false positive.

Cancer screening mapPSA screening tradeoffs

Evidence role
benefit-harm-context
Population or model
42,376 men age 55–74 in ERSPC Rotterdam; primary analysis in 34,831 men age 55–69
Comparator
Invitation to PSA-based screening about every four years versus control
Outcome
excess diagnosis and false positives
Design and maturity
Randomized screening program with long section-specific follow-up
Result
Rotterdam reported 57 excess prostate-cancer diagnoses per 1,000 randomized to screening; across five ERSPC centers, 17.8% of screened men had at least one false positive.
Boundary
Does not mean every additional diagnosis is harmful or that cancer-specific benefit erases urinary, sexual and other harms.
Limitations
Excess diagnosis is not identical to overdiagnosis in every case; biopsy and treatment harms need separate evidence.
Funding and conflicts
Dutch Cancer Society, Netherlands Organisation for Health Research and Development, Dutch Cancer Research Foundation, and an unconditional Beckman-Coulter-Hybritech grant; focal paper reports no author conflicts.
Correction state
No correction, retraction or expression of concern found; a later comment is not a correction.
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Insufficient evidenceclaim:c63-psa-05

Among men randomized at age 70 or older, prostate-cancer mortality RR was 1.18 (95% CI 0.87–1.62), with no demonstrated difference.

Cancer screening mapPSA screening tradeoffs

Evidence role
prespecified-sensitivity-boundary
Population or model
42,376 men age 55–74 in ERSPC Rotterdam; primary analysis in 34,831 men age 55–69
Comparator
Invitation to PSA-based screening about every four years versus control
Outcome
older-at-randomization cancer-specific mortality
Design and maturity
Randomized screening program with long section-specific follow-up
Result
Among men randomized at age 70 or older, prostate-cancer mortality RR was 1.18 (95% CI 0.87–1.62), with no demonstrated difference.
Boundary
Does not prove harm, equivalence or an individualized cutoff.
Limitations
Imprecise subgroup estimate from a historical screening pathway.
Funding and conflicts
Dutch Cancer Society, Netherlands Organisation for Health Research and Development, Dutch Cancer Research Foundation, and an unconditional Beckman-Coulter-Hybritech grant; focal paper reports no author conflicts.
Correction state
No correction, retraction or expression of concern found; a later comment is not a correction.
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Indirect contextclaim:c63-psa-06

Current final USPSTF guidance remains the 2018 statement: individual decision-making at age 55–69 and no PSA-based screening at age 70 or older; an update is in progress.

Cancer screening mapPSA screening tradeoffs

Evidence role
current-guidance-context
Population or model
42,376 men age 55–74 in ERSPC Rotterdam; primary analysis in 34,831 men age 55–69
Comparator
Invitation to PSA-based screening about every four years versus control
Outcome
dated population recommendation
Design and maturity
Randomized screening program with long section-specific follow-up
Result
Current final USPSTF guidance remains the 2018 statement: individual decision-making at age 55–69 and no PSA-based screening at age 70 or older; an update is in progress.
Boundary
Does not provide personalized advice or guarantee the statement will remain unchanged.
Limitations
Update page last updated December 21, 2023 is not a replacement final recommendation.
Funding and conflicts
Dutch Cancer Society, Netherlands Organisation for Health Research and Development, Dutch Cancer Research Foundation, and an unconditional Beckman-Coulter-Hybritech grant; focal paper reports no author conflicts.
Correction state
No correction, retraction or expression of concern found; a later comment is not a correction.
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Direct supportM69-DPP-01

At 15 years, cumulative diabetes incidence was 55% with lifestyle, 56% with metformin and 62% with placebo; hazard ratios were 0.73 and 0.82 versus placebo.

Metabolic health mapdpp dppos diabetes microvascular outcomes

Evidence role
governed claim
Population or model
Adults with impaired glucose tolerance and BMI at least 24 kg/m² in the original DPP cohort
Comparator
Intensive lifestyle or metformin versus placebo
Outcome
Diabetes incidence
Design and maturity
Long randomized follow-up with diabetes incidence benefit and an overall null aggregate microvascular comparison
Result
At 15 years, cumulative diabetes incidence was 55% with lifestyle, 56% with metformin and 62% with placebo; hazard ratios were 0.73 and 0.82 versus placebo.
Boundary
No demonstrated cardiovascular, mortality, healthspan or lifespan benefit
Limitations
Post-DPP lifestyle exposure across groups, unmasked follow-up treatment and diminishing separation
Funding and conflicts
NIDDK/NIH support; governing paper declares no conflicts.
Correction state
No linked correction/retraction; DPPOS registry status stale
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Insufficient evidenceM69-DPP-02

Overall aggregate microvascular prevalence did not differ significantly by original randomized group: 11.3% lifestyle, 13.0% metformin and 12.4% placebo.

Metabolic health mapdpp dppos diabetes microvascular outcomes

Evidence role
governed claim
Population or model
Surviving DPP participants in DPPOS
Comparator
Original randomized groups
Outcome
Aggregate retinopathy, nephropathy and neuropathy prevalence
Design and maturity
Long randomized follow-up with diabetes incidence benefit and an overall null aggregate microvascular comparison
Result
Overall aggregate microvascular prevalence did not differ significantly by original randomized group: 11.3% lifestyle, 13.0% metformin and 12.4% placebo.
Boundary
No overall randomized microvascular benefit
Limitations
End-study prevalence composite and shared lifestyle exposure
Funding and conflicts
NIDDK/NIH support; governing paper declares no conflicts.
Correction state
No linked correction/retraction; DPPOS registry status stale
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Insufficient evidenceM69-DPP-03

Women-only differences and the lower prevalence among participants who did not develop diabetes are secondary subgroup or exposure-defined findings.

Metabolic health mapdpp dppos diabetes microvascular outcomes

Evidence role
governed claim
Population or model
DPPOS women subgroup and diabetes-status groups
Comparator
Subgroup/exposure-defined comparisons
Outcome
Aggregate microvascular prevalence
Design and maturity
Long randomized follow-up with diabetes incidence benefit and an overall null aggregate microvascular comparison
Result
Women-only differences and the lower prevalence among participants who did not develop diabetes are secondary subgroup or exposure-defined findings.
Boundary
No whole-cohort randomized microvascular effect
Limitations
Multiplicity, subgroup scope and nonrandomized diabetes-status comparison
Funding and conflicts
NIDDK/NIH support; governing paper declares no conflicts.
Correction state
No linked correction/retraction; DPPOS registry status stale
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Insufficient evidenceM69-DPP-04

Later 21-year analyses did not find fewer major cardiovascular events or deaths by original lifestyle or metformin assignment.

Metabolic health mapdpp dppos diabetes microvascular outcomes

Evidence role
governed claim
Population or model
Original DPP cohort under prolonged follow-up
Comparator
Original lifestyle or metformin assignment versus placebo
Outcome
Major cardiovascular events and mortality
Design and maturity
Long randomized follow-up with diabetes incidence benefit and an overall null aggregate microvascular comparison
Result
Later 21-year analyses did not find fewer major cardiovascular events or deaths by original lifestyle or metformin assignment.
Boundary
No proof that delaying diabetes has no value
Limitations
Intervention convergence, outside treatment and prolonged follow-up
Funding and conflicts
NIDDK/NIH support; governing paper declares no conflicts.
Correction state
No linked correction/retraction; DPPOS registry status stale
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Direct supportM69-LA-01

The primary cardiovascular composite occurred in 403 intensive-lifestyle and 418 support/education participants; hazard ratio 0.95, P=0.51.

Metabolic health maplook ahead cardiovascular outcomes

Evidence role
governed claim
Population or model
Adults age 45–75 with type 2 diabetes and overweight or obesity who could complete an exercise test
Comparator
Structured intensive lifestyle versus diabetes support and education
Outcome
Cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke or hospitalization for angina
Design and maturity
Large randomized cardiovascular-outcome trial stopped for futility
Result
The primary cardiovascular composite occurred in 403 intensive-lifestyle and 418 support/education participants; hazard ratio 0.95, P=0.51.
Boundary
No statistically significant cardiovascular-event reduction
Limitations
Stopped for futility, evolving medical care and narrowing weight contrast
Funding and conflicts
NIH/HHS and listed institutional/corporate support; corporate supporters reportedly had no design, analysis or reporting role; disclosures linked.
Correction state
2014 correction incorporated
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Direct supportM69-LA-02

Mean weight loss was 8.6% versus 0.7% at year one and 6.0% versus 3.5% at study end.

Metabolic health maplook ahead cardiovascular outcomes

Evidence role
governed claim
Population or model
Look AHEAD randomized cohort
Comparator
Intensive lifestyle versus support and education
Outcome
Body weight
Design and maturity
Large randomized cardiovascular-outcome trial stopped for futility
Result
Mean weight loss was 8.6% versus 0.7% at year one and 6.0% versus 3.5% at study end.
Boundary
No evidence that the weight difference caused fewer cardiovascular events or longer life
Limitations
Structured trial program and selected participants
Funding and conflicts
NIH/HHS and listed institutional/corporate support; corporate supporters reportedly had no design, analysis or reporting role; disclosures linked.
Correction state
2014 correction incorporated
Verified
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Direct supportM69-LA-03

Several risk factors and fitness improved more initially while treatment patterns and group differences narrowed over time.

Metabolic health maplook ahead cardiovascular outcomes

Evidence role
governed claim
Population or model
Look AHEAD randomized cohort
Comparator
Intensive lifestyle versus support and education
Outcome
HbA1c, fitness and cardiovascular risk factors
Design and maturity
Large randomized cardiovascular-outcome trial stopped for futility
Result
Several risk factors and fitness improved more initially while treatment patterns and group differences narrowed over time.
Boundary
No substitute for a cardiovascular-event benefit
Limitations
Multiple secondary outcomes and evolving co-treatment
Funding and conflicts
NIH/HHS and listed institutional/corporate support; corporate supporters reportedly had no design, analysis or reporting role; disclosures linked.
Correction state
2014 correction incorporated
Verified
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Indirect contextM69-LA-04

Self-reported but not adjudicated fracture rates differed; a 2014 correction added hospitalization for angina to one secondary-composite label without changing the primary result.

Metabolic health maplook ahead cardiovascular outcomes

Evidence role
governed claim
Population or model
Look AHEAD randomized cohort
Comparator
Intensive lifestyle versus support and education
Outcome
Fractures and correction status
Design and maturity
Large randomized cardiovascular-outcome trial stopped for futility
Result
Self-reported but not adjudicated fracture rates differed; a 2014 correction added hospitalization for angina to one secondary-composite label without changing the primary result.
Boundary
No general fracture harm or change to the governing cardiovascular conclusion
Limitations
Secondary safety outcome and reporting-method difference
Funding and conflicts
NIH/HHS and listed institutional/corporate support; corporate supporters reportedly had no design, analysis or reporting role; disclosures linked.
Correction state
2014 correction incorporated
Verified
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Direct supportM69-ACC-01

ACCORD randomized 10,251 high-risk adults with type 2 diabetes to multi-drug strategies targeting HbA1c below 6.0% or 7.0–7.9%; achieved medians were 6.4% and 7.5%.

Metabolic health mapaccord intensive glycemia mortality

Evidence role
governed claim
Population or model
Adults with established type 2 diabetes plus cardiovascular disease or added risk factors
Comparator
Intensive multi-drug glycemia target strategy versus standard strategy
Outcome
HbA1c target and achieved levels
Design and maturity
Large randomized cardiovascular-outcome trial with an early-stopped intensive glycemia arm
Result
ACCORD randomized 10,251 high-risk adults with type 2 diabetes to multi-drug strategies targeting HbA1c below 6.0% or 7.0–7.9%; achieved medians were 6.4% and 7.5%.
Boundary
No effect estimate for people without diabetes or any single treatment
Limitations
Selected high-risk population and multi-drug strategy
Funding and conflicts
NHLBI/NIH/CDC support; manufacturers supplied medicines/equipment and multiple author industry relationships were disclosed.
Correction state
No linked correction/retraction
Verified
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Direct supportM69-ACC-02

The primary cardiovascular outcome occurred in 352 versus 371 participants; hazard ratio 0.90, P=0.16.

Metabolic health mapaccord intensive glycemia mortality

Evidence role
governed claim
Population or model
ACCORD high-risk type 2 diabetes cohort
Comparator
Intensive versus standard glycemia strategy
Outcome
Nonfatal myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke or cardiovascular death
Design and maturity
Large randomized cardiovascular-outcome trial with an early-stopped intensive glycemia arm
Result
The primary cardiovascular outcome occurred in 352 versus 371 participants; hazard ratio 0.90, P=0.16.
Boundary
No statistically significant reduction in major cardiovascular events
Limitations
Intensive arm stopped early
Funding and conflicts
NHLBI/NIH/CDC support; manufacturers supplied medicines/equipment and multiple author industry relationships were disclosed.
Correction state
No linked correction/retraction
Verified
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Direct supportM69-ACC-03

Deaths were 257 versus 203; hazard ratio 1.22, P=0.04, prompting early discontinuation of intensive therapy.

Metabolic health mapaccord intensive glycemia mortality

Evidence role
governed claim
Population or model
ACCORD high-risk type 2 diabetes cohort
Comparator
Intensive versus standard glycemia strategy
Outcome
All-cause mortality
Design and maturity
Large randomized cardiovascular-outcome trial with an early-stopped intensive glycemia arm
Result
Deaths were 257 versus 203; hazard ratio 1.22, P=0.04, prompting early discontinuation of intensive therapy.
Boundary
No claim that lower glucose, diabetes care, diet or exercise generally increases mortality
Limitations
Mechanism unresolved and strategy-specific; later excess attenuated
Funding and conflicts
NHLBI/NIH/CDC support; manufacturers supplied medicines/equipment and multiple author industry relationships were disclosed.
Correction state
No linked correction/retraction
Verified
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Insufficient evidenceM69-ACC-04

Assistance-requiring hypoglycemia and weight gain over 10 kg were more frequent; hypoglycemia did not explain the mortality difference and a different intensive strategy in ADVANCE did not increase mortality.

Metabolic health mapaccord intensive glycemia mortality

Evidence role
governed claim
Population or model
ACCORD cohort with independent ADVANCE countercontext
Comparator
Different intensive and standard glucose-control strategies
Outcome
Safety and applicability
Design and maturity
Large randomized cardiovascular-outcome trial with an early-stopped intensive glycemia arm
Result
Assistance-requiring hypoglycemia and weight gain over 10 kg were more frequent; hypoglycemia did not explain the mortality difference and a different intensive strategy in ADVANCE did not increase mortality.
Boundary
No single causal mechanism or cross-trial efficacy ranking
Limitations
Mechanism remains unresolved and trials differ materially
Funding and conflicts
NHLBI/NIH/CDC support; manufacturers supplied medicines/equipment and multiple author industry relationships were disclosed.
Correction state
No linked correction/retraction
Verified
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Indirect contextF71-STRIDE-01

5,451 higher-risk primary-care patients; nurse-led multifactorial strategy versus enhanced usual care

Falls and independence mapstride serious fall injury outcomes

Evidence role
Population/strategy
Population or model
STRIDE selected primary-care population and measured fall outcomes
Comparator
See connected article and primary records
Outcome
STRIDE selected primary-care population and measured fall outcomes
Design and maturity
Large pragmatic cluster-randomized trial with a nonsignificant primary serious-injury result
Result
5,451 higher-risk primary-care patients; nurse-led multifactorial strategy versus enhanced usual care
Boundary
Every multifactorial service
Limitations
Cluster pragmatic delivery
Funding and conflicts
No additional funding or conflict claim is introduced by this projection; see the connected article and primary disclosures.
Correction state
none-linked-as-of-2026-08-26; completed-results-posted-2021-03-03
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Insufficient evidenceF71-STRIDE-02

4.9 versus 5.3 serious injuries per 100 person-years; HR 0.92, P=.25

Falls and independence mapstride serious fall injury outcomes

Evidence role
Governing randomized null
Population or model
STRIDE selected primary-care population and measured fall outcomes
Comparator
See connected article and primary records
Outcome
STRIDE selected primary-care population and measured fall outcomes
Design and maturity
Large pragmatic cluster-randomized trial with a nonsignificant primary serious-injury result
Result
4.9 versus 5.3 serious injuries per 100 person-years; HR 0.92, P=.25
Boundary
Significant primary reduction or equivalence
Limitations
Confidence interval includes benefit and no difference
Funding and conflicts
No additional funding or conflict claim is introduced by this projection; see the connected article and primary disclosures.
Correction state
none-linked-as-of-2026-08-26; completed-results-posted-2021-03-03
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Indirect contextF71-STRIDE-03

First self-reported injury HR 0.90

Falls and independence mapstride serious fall injury outcomes

Evidence role
Secondary outcome
Population or model
STRIDE selected primary-care population and measured fall outcomes
Comparator
See connected article and primary records
Outcome
STRIDE selected primary-care population and measured fall outcomes
Design and maturity
Large pragmatic cluster-randomized trial with a nonsignificant primary serious-injury result
Result
First self-reported injury HR 0.90
Boundary
Replacement of the primary adjudicated result
Limitations
Secondary and self-reported
Funding and conflicts
No additional funding or conflict claim is introduced by this projection; see the connected article and primary disclosures.
Correction state
none-linked-as-of-2026-08-26; completed-results-posted-2021-03-03
Verified
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Indirect contextF71-STRIDE-04

Hospitalizations and deaths were similar; representativeness and fidelity limits remain

Falls and independence mapstride serious fall injury outcomes

Evidence role
Safety/limits
Population or model
STRIDE selected primary-care population and measured fall outcomes
Comparator
See connected article and primary records
Outcome
STRIDE selected primary-care population and measured fall outcomes
Design and maturity
Large pragmatic cluster-randomized trial with a nonsignificant primary serious-injury result
Result
Hospitalizations and deaths were similar; representativeness and fidelity limits remain
Boundary
Independence or lifespan benefit
Limitations
Incomplete process measures
Funding and conflicts
No additional funding or conflict claim is introduced by this projection; see the connected article and primary disclosures.
Correction state
none-linked-as-of-2026-08-26; completed-results-posted-2021-03-03
Verified
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Indirect contextF71-LIFE-01

317 selected ambulatory home-living adults; three home-based groups

Falls and independence mapstride serious fall injury outcomes

Evidence role
Population/strategy
Population or model
LiFE selected high-risk home-living population and measured fall outcomes
Comparator
See connected article and primary records
Outcome
LiFE selected high-risk home-living population and measured fall outcomes
Design and maturity
Large pragmatic cluster-randomized trial with a nonsignificant primary serious-injury result
Result
317 selected ambulatory home-living adults; three home-based groups
Boundary
Institutionalized or general population
Limitations
Small selected sample
Funding and conflicts
No additional funding or conflict claim is introduced by this projection; see the connected article and primary disclosures.
Correction state
none-linked-as-of-2026-08-26; identity-reverified-2026-08-26
Verified
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Direct supportF71-LIFE-02

Fall rate 1.66 versus 2.28; IRR 0.69

Falls and independence mapstride serious fall injury outcomes

Evidence role
Governing randomized result
Population or model
LiFE selected high-risk home-living population and measured fall outcomes
Comparator
See connected article and primary records
Outcome
LiFE selected high-risk home-living population and measured fall outcomes
Design and maturity
Large pragmatic cluster-randomized trial with a nonsignificant primary serious-injury result
Result
Fall rate 1.66 versus 2.28; IRR 0.69
Boundary
Fracture, disability, healthspan or lifespan
Limitations
Self-reported falls
Funding and conflicts
No additional funding or conflict claim is introduced by this projection; see the connected article and primary disclosures.
Correction state
none-linked-as-of-2026-08-26; identity-reverified-2026-08-26
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Insufficient evidenceF71-LIFE-03

Structured exercise versus control IRR 0.81 was not significant

Falls and independence mapstride serious fall injury outcomes

Evidence role
Comparator context
Population or model
LiFE selected high-risk home-living population and measured fall outcomes
Comparator
See connected article and primary records
Outcome
LiFE selected high-risk home-living population and measured fall outcomes
Design and maturity
Large pragmatic cluster-randomized trial with a nonsignificant primary serious-injury result
Result
Structured exercise versus control IRR 0.81 was not significant
Boundary
Cross-program ranking
Limitations
Limited power
Funding and conflicts
No additional funding or conflict claim is introduced by this projection; see the connected article and primary disclosures.
Correction state
none-linked-as-of-2026-08-26; identity-reverified-2026-08-26
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Indirect contextF71-LIFE-04

Balance and function secondary measures differed

Falls and independence mapstride serious fall injury outcomes

Evidence role
Secondary/limits
Population or model
LiFE selected high-risk home-living population and measured fall outcomes
Comparator
See connected article and primary records
Outcome
LiFE selected high-risk home-living population and measured fall outcomes
Design and maturity
Large pragmatic cluster-randomized trial with a nonsignificant primary serious-injury result
Result
Balance and function secondary measures differed
Boundary
Unsupervised instruction or injury guarantee
Limitations
Multiple outcomes and self-report
Funding and conflicts
No additional funding or conflict claim is introduced by this projection; see the connected article and primary disclosures.
Correction state
none-linked-as-of-2026-08-26; identity-reverified-2026-08-26
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Indirect contextF71-TJQ-01

670 selected adults; tailored TJQMBB versus multimodal versus stretching

Falls and independence mapstride serious fall injury outcomes

Evidence role
Population/strategy
Population or model
TJQMBB selected community population and measured fall outcomes
Comparator
See connected article and primary records
Outcome
TJQMBB selected community population and measured fall outcomes
Design and maturity
Large pragmatic cluster-randomized trial with a nonsignificant primary serious-injury result
Result
670 selected adults; tailored TJQMBB versus multimodal versus stretching
Boundary
Generic tai chi or other settings
Limitations
24 weeks and active comparators
Funding and conflicts
No additional funding or conflict claim is introduced by this projection; see the connected article and primary disclosures.
Correction state
none-linked-as-of-2026-08-26; completed-last-verified-2021-06
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Direct supportF71-TJQ-02

152 versus 363 falls; IRR 0.42 versus stretching

Falls and independence mapstride serious fall injury outcomes

Evidence role
Governing randomized result
Population or model
TJQMBB selected community population and measured fall outcomes
Comparator
See connected article and primary records
Outcome
TJQMBB selected community population and measured fall outcomes
Design and maturity
Large pragmatic cluster-randomized trial with a nonsignificant primary serious-injury result
Result
152 versus 363 falls; IRR 0.42 versus stretching
Boundary
Lifespan or guaranteed injury prevention
Limitations
Falls during intervention
Funding and conflicts
No additional funding or conflict claim is introduced by this projection; see the connected article and primary disclosures.
Correction state
none-linked-as-of-2026-08-26; completed-last-verified-2021-06
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Direct supportF71-TJQ-03

IRR 0.69 versus multimodal exercise

Falls and independence mapstride serious fall injury outcomes

Evidence role
Active comparison
Population or model
TJQMBB selected community population and measured fall outcomes
Comparator
See connected article and primary records
Outcome
TJQMBB selected community population and measured fall outcomes
Design and maturity
Large pragmatic cluster-randomized trial with a nonsignificant primary serious-injury result
Result
IRR 0.69 versus multimodal exercise
Boundary
Universal superiority
Limitations
Selected sample and delivery
Funding and conflicts
No additional funding or conflict claim is introduced by this projection; see the connected article and primary disclosures.
Correction state
none-linked-as-of-2026-08-26; completed-last-verified-2021-06
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Indirect contextF71-TJQ-04

Injurious-fall paper is separate follow-up

Falls and independence mapstride serious fall injury outcomes

Evidence role
Follow-up/limits
Population or model
TJQMBB selected community population and measured fall outcomes
Comparator
See connected article and primary records
Outcome
TJQMBB selected community population and measured fall outcomes
Design and maturity
Large pragmatic cluster-randomized trial with a nonsignificant primary serious-injury result
Result
Injurious-fall paper is separate follow-up
Boundary
Individual recommendation
Limitations
Later analysis and representativeness
Funding and conflicts
No additional funding or conflict claim is introduced by this projection; see the connected article and primary disclosures.
Correction state
none-linked-as-of-2026-08-26; completed-last-verified-2021-06
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